Alternative Premier League table after 12 matches, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 12 matches, based on expected goals
Manchester United manager Jose Mourinho said he ‘doesn’t go for stats’ following his side’s 3-1 derby defeat to Man City on Sunday.It’s probably a good thing too as all the numbers point to a below-par season for the Red Devils, who have a negative goal difference with almost one third of the campaign gone.8

Manchester United manager Jose Mourinho.

It’s not looking good when you consider their expected goals figures too, which suggest they’re actually over-performing at this current time.Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

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20. Burnley Real position = 15Real points = 9 | Expected points = 7.6419.Fulham Real position = 20Real points = 5 | Expected points = 8.8818. Brighton and Hove Albion Real position = 12Real points = 14 | Expected points = 9.578

Brighton and Hove Albion star Lewis Dunk celebrates.

17. Newcastle United Real position = 14Real points = 9 | Expected points = 10.1716. Huddersfield Town Real position = 19Real points = 7 | Expected points = 10.5715. Cardiff City Real position = 18Real points = 8 | Expected points = 12.828

Cardiff City boss Neil Warnock.

14. Southampton Real position = 17Real points = 8 | Expected points = 13.3113. Crystal Palace Real position = 16Real points = 8 | Expected points = 13.6612. West Ham United Real position = 13Real points = 12 | Expected points = 14.5611.Arsenal Real position = 5Real points = 24 | Expected points = 16.218

Arsenal manager Unai Emery shouts at his players.

10. Everton Real position = 9Real points = 19 | Expected points = 16.289.Manchester United Real position = 8Real points = 20 | Expected points = 16.818

Manchester United stars look dejected after watching Manchester City score.

8. Leicester City Real position = 10Real points = 17 | Expected points = 17.897. Watford Real position = 7Real points = 20 | Expected points = 20.108

Watford forward Isaac Success in action.

6. Wolverhampton Wanderers Real position = 11Real points = 16 | Expected points = 20.605. Tottenham Hotspur Real position = 4Real points = 27 | Expected points = 20.788

Tottenham Hotspur stars celebrate with goalscorer Juan Foyth.

4. Bournemouth Real position = 6Real points = 20 | Expected points = 21.453.Liverpool Real position = 2Real points = 30 | Expected points = 24.538

Liverpool player Xherdan Shaqiri celebrates scoring against Fulham.

2.Chelsea Real position = 3Real points = 28 | Expected points = 26.021. Manchester City Real position = 1Real points = 32 | Expected points = 31.00

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The one nagging stat (other than the three goals in three months and no wins) is that new Hull boss, Marco Silva, has never lost a home game in his four years as a manager - probably exemplified by his last game when finding his team one down against the Hammers switched to 4-2-4 for the second half - almost a UEFA McClarenesque strategy
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Injured striker Danny Welbeck shared a FaceTime call with Arsenal's players before their 1-1 draw with Wolves on Sunday, Bernd Leno has revealed. The England forward underwent surgery on Friday
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The outcome wasn't really affected by whether it was a "red card" tackle as Jags was sent off (seemingly) for preventing a goal-scoring opportunity by fouling the player. Had it been in a different area of the pitch, or if the player hadn't been right through on goal then Jags would/should have got a yellow for the "foul" if it was indeed a foul.
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